It may say something about expectations for the Affordable Care Act
that the simplistic “just repeal Obamacare” cries of Congressional
Republicans are starting to be supplemented by proposals for its
replacement.
The most detailed so far is from the conservative American Enterprise Institute, which has published an unexpectedly non-doctrinaire study authored by Harvard professor Michael Chernew and seven other respected academics.
It’s far from perfect, but it’s worth reading.
Structural details of the AEI proposal, modestly titled “Best of Both
Worlds,” aren’t always clear (page 1 lists four “principles,” page 5
lists five “priorities”, and page 16 lists three “major planks”), but it
does attempt a bipartisan approach, combining ideas from left and
right.
Some of these ideas have been contained in other proposals, such as
those of Wyden and Bennett and Fuchs and Emanuel (which may damn the AEI
proposal in right-wing eyes), and most recently in a THCB piece by Martin Gayno.
They include the elimination of the employer coverage tax preference,
the provision of “premium support” subsidies for most individuals, and
the establishment of a national insurance exchange. Together, they are
designed to encourage individual choice and responsibility and to
maximize competition between insurers, while removing some of the
inequities of the present system (and of the ACA).
The AEI proposal assumes that eliminating the employer coverage tax
preference will result in most individuals obtaining coverage through a
national exchange, with national regulation of insurance plans. Current
Medicaid eligibles will be included, with the replacement of acute care
Medicaid funding by subsidies for conventional coverage. All individuals
will be able to choose between fully-subsidized “basic plans” and more
generous partially-subsidized options, typically with substantial
deductibles tied to income and health status. Insurers will be
encouraged to offer multi-year coverage and, unlike in the ACA, medical
underwriting will be allowed. The only government financing will be for
premium subsidies, to be funded by the additional income and payroll tax
revenues resulting from elimination of the employer tax preference and
by redirecting federal and state Medicaid payments.
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